MEDIA RELEASE PR37455
Fiery Final Ahead as All New Castrol Predictor Shows Brazil Most Likely to Meet Spain
in the 2010 FIFA World Cup(TM) Final
CAPE TOWN, Dec. 8 /PRNewswire-AsiaNet/ --
- Castrol Predictor Shows the Five Times Champions Will Lift the Trophy
Again
Two of the world's most passionate footballing nations, Spain
and Brazil, are favourites to go head to head in the 2010 FIFA World Cup(TM)
Final according to the Castrol Predictor, a new tool launched today by 2010
While the UEFA Euro 2008 winners, Spain, seem to be most
bookmakers' favourite going into the tournament, the Castrol Predictor shows
that they actually have only a 16.1% chance of glory and are second
favourites behind the five time winners Brazil, with a 23.6% chance of
success.
Castrol has applied the same expertise they apply to the
development of their oils to create the Castrol Predictor, using objective
analysis and highly advanced technology to offer unique insights into winning
performances.
Castrol's analysis shows that the best placed teams to qualify
from Group G, the so called 'Group of Death', are Castrol Predictor
tournament and group favourites Brazil (91.7%) and Portugal (52.4%). Carlos
Queiroz's men cannot afford to be complacent as they are almost inseparable
from their group rivals and African favourites Ivory Coast, who have a 50.5%
chance of reaching the last 16.
Current world champions Italy, will have their work cut out to
mirror their triumph of 2006, with the Azzurri ranked 7th favourites to
reclaim their crown and given only a 3.6% chance of victory. One Italian that
is in contention to lift the famous trophy is England manager Fabio Capello,
who will look to guide his team to their first World Cup Final since 1966.
England are third favourites to go all the way, with the Castrol Predictor
giving them a 10.4% chance of success, however, Capello's men will be weary
of penalty shoot-out heartbreak, given their poor record when it comes to
spot-kicks.
The Castrol Predictor has been created by the same team of
Castrol Performance Analysts behind the Castrol Rankings and Castrol Index.
It measures past team and player performance and works out the
attack and defence ratings of each nation. Then, by simulating the tournament
more than 100,000 times and taking into account the draw groupings, Castrol
has calculated each team's chances of progression through the FIFA World
Cup(TM) group stages and ultimately, of winning the world's most famous
trophy.
The Castrol Predictor will be updated throughout the 2010 FIFA
each and every match result on their team's chances.
The Castrol Predictor is fully interactive, letting fans find
out how they will get on in their group, which teams they are most and least
likely to meet at each round, and whether they'll face a grudge match with
arch rivals.
Castrol Ambassador Marcel Desailly says: "I am surprised that
the Castrol Predictor shows Brazil as favourites because I really thought
Spain were the team to beat this time. I will be hoping that my home nation
Ghana does better than predicted as the Castrol Predictor only gives them a
0.2% chance of success! It's great being able to look at the teams' predicted
success in this way and I'm sure it will be a talking point for football fans
everywhere."
Castrol Senior Vice-President Mike Johnson added: "We want to
offer real insight to football fans around the world and the Castrol
Predictor does exactly that, offering fans a new and meaningful way of
following their team through the 2010 FIFA World Cup(TM). As passionate
football fans we are looking forward with great excitement to using the
Castrol Predictor throughout the tournament next year."
Table shows each team's chances of progression to each round
of the FIFA World Cup based on the Castrol Predictor, visit
TEAM PROGRESS TO PROGRESS TO PROGRESS PROGRESS WINNING
LAST 16 QUARTER TO SEMI TO FINAL THE FINAL
FINALS FINALS
BRAZIL 91.7% 67.7% 48.8% 35.0% 23.6%
SPAIN 88.1% 57.0% 39.6% 26.7% 16.1%
ENGLAND 90.2% 58.7% 37.3% 19.2% 10.4%
NETHERLANDS 79.8% 56.5% 29.3% 18.1% 10.1%
ARGENTINA 79.1% 49.7% 29.4% 14.9% 7.5%
GERMANY 74.4% 43.9% 25.4% 12.1% 5.8%
ITALY 84.3% 43.0% 17.6% 8.7% 3.6%
URUGUAY 61.5% 32.9% 16.2% 6.5% 2.7%
FRANCE 59.0% 31.2% 15.3% 6.4% 2.6%
USA 73.0% 36.0% 17.3% 6.5% 2.4%
PORTUGAL 52.4% 22.5% 10.9% 5.0% 1.8%
PARAGUAY 73.3% 31.1% 10.5% 4.4% 1.5%
DENMARK 49.5% 26.5% 9.5% 4.2% 1.5%
IVORY COAST 50.5% 21.2% 10.0% 4.4% 1.5%
AUSTRALIA 48.2% 21.6% 10.0% 3.7% 1.3%
MEXICO 49.5% 23.6% 10.2% 3.7% 1.3%
SERBIA 47.9% 20.9% 9.4% 3.3% 1.1%
NIGERIA 47.3% 21.5% 9.0% 3.1% 1.1%
GREECE 46.1% 20.1% 7.9% 2.5% 0.8%
JAPAN 38.5% 18.8% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7%
CHILE 40.2% 11.8% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
CAMEROON 32.3% 14.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
SWITZERLAND 36.9% 9.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
SOUTH AFRICA 30.0% 11.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
HONDURAS 34.7% 9.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
GHANA 29.5% 10.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
SOUTH KOREA 27.6% 9.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2%
SLOVAKIA 38.8% 9.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
SLOVENIA 21.0% 5.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
ALGERIA 15.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
NORTH KOREA 5.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Notes to Editors:
Castrol's commercial success is underpinned by their ability
to deliver improved performance through the application of analysis,
technology and innovation. This has helped Castrol deliver superior
performing lubricants for over 100 years including brands such as Castrol
EDGE, Castrol Magnatec and Castrol Power 1 and Castrol Professional. Castrol
believes that by applying the same expertise to football that they do in the
development of their oils, they can enhance the fans' experience and bring a
new and intriguing point of view to the 2010 FIFA World Cup(TM).
For more information on the Castrol Predictor please visit
SOURCE: Castrol
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